Tuesday, December 18, 2012

Stocks for the Long Run: FMC vs. the S&P 500

Investing isn't easy. Even Warren Buffett counsels that most investors should invest in a low-cost index like the S&P 500. That way, "you'll be buying into a wonderful industry, which in effect is all of American industry," he says.

But there are, of course, companies whose long-term fortunes differ substantially from the index. In this series, we look at how individual stocks have performed against the broad S&P 500.

Step on up, FMC (NYSE: FMC  ) .

FMC shares have outperformed the S&P 500 over the past quarter-century, driven by a big gain over the last decade:

Source: S&P Capital IQ.

Since 1987, shares have returned an average of 11.4% a year, compared with 9.7% a year for the S&P (both include dividends). One thousand dollars invested in the S&P in 1987 would be worth $19,200 today. In FMC, it'd be worth $31,900.

Dividends accounted for a lot of those gains. Compounded since 1987, dividends have made up about half of FMC's returns. For the S&P, dividends account for 39% of total returns.

Now have a look at how FMC earnings compare with S&P 500 earnings:

Source: S&P Capital IQ.

Outperformance�here, too. Since 1995, FMC's earnings per share have increased by an average of 7.4% per year, compared with 6% a year for the broader index.

What's that meant for valuations? FMC has traded for an average of 18 times earnings since 1987 -- below the 24 times earnings for the broader S&P 500.

Through it all, shares have been strong performers over the past quarter-century.

Of course, the important question is whether that will continue. That's where you come in. Our CAPS community currently ranks FMC with a three-star rating (out of five). Care to disagree? Leave your thoughts in the comment section below, or add FMC to My Watchlist.

With the U.S. relying on the rest of the world for such a large percentage of our goods, many investors are ready for the end of the "made in China" era. Well, it's arrived, and with the balance of manufacturing power shifting yet again, you can profit with the 3 Stocks to Own for the New Industrial Revolution. They're the biggest industry disrupters we've seen since the personal computer, and you can read more about them in our free analyst report. Click here to learn more.

No comments:

Post a Comment